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Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets – Week 6 Betting Pick

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Indianapolis Colts (+3) are heading east to face the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to start at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS will broadcast the action.

Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets Betting Preview

Indianapolis is getting picked as the underdog and is currently getting 3 points in this AFC game. The Colts are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Jets are -140. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 45 points. Should the favorites get behind in the early stages, it’ll likely create a worthy in-game betting scenario.

Sharp bettors have been leaning toward the under. The game’s over/under was placed originally at 46.

The Colts are down 2.3 units so far and 2-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 3-2. The Jets have lost 0.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and also have an O/U record of 3-2.

The Colts are 1-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Jets are 2-3 SU.

The Colts fell to New England 38-24 in a Week 5 game where their secondary allowed the Patriots to air it out for 341 yards and three touchdowns. On the offense, Andrew Luck completed 38-of-59 passes for 365 yards, three scores and two interceptions. Nyheim Hines (just 45 yards on 15 rush attempts) led the ground attack while Eric Ebron (nine receptions, 105 yards, two TDs) and Chester Rogers (eight catches, 66 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

New York just earned a 34-16 win over Denver last week. Sam Darnold completed 10-of-22 passes for 198 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Bilal Powell (99 rushing yards on 20 attempts) and Isaiah Crowell (219 yards on 15 carries, one TD) handled the running game as Robby Anderson (three receptions, 123 yards, two TDs) and Eric Tomlinson (two catches, 15 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Indianapolis has run the ball on 29.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New York has a rush percentage of 47.9 percent. The Colts have produced 74 rush yards/game and have one touchdown on the ground this year. The Jets are averaging 135 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

The Colts offense has averaged 298 yards in the air overall and has 12 passing TD so far. The Jets have put up 213 pass yards per outing and have seven total pass scores.

Indianapolis has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 107 yards and pass for 301 yards per game. The New York D has given up 290.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 105.0 yards per game on the ground. The Jets are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.39 to opposing QBs, while the Colts have given up a 6.30 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Luck has put up 1,027 yards on the year. He’s completed 67 percent of his 183 attempts with eight scores through the air and five interceptions. He has a 4.83 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.68 over the last two outings.

Sam Darnold has connected on 66-of-115 passes for 899 yards, six TDs and six INTs for New York. His ANY/A sits at 5.69 for the season and 6.13 over his past two outings.

RELATED: Week 6 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

NFL Pick: Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets

SU Winner – Jets, ATS Winner – Colts, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Colts offense has created two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Jets have put up three such plays.

The Indianapolis defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40+ yards, while New York has given up two such plays.

The Indianapolis offense has created one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while New York has created six such runs.

The Colts defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Jets have given up seven such runs.

The Indianapolis defense has 17 sacks on the year while New York has 14.

Indianapolis has rushed for 3.7843137254902 yards per attempt over its last three games and 3.3 over its last two.

New York has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.9 over its last two.

In its last three matches, New York is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Indianapolis was favored by 11 points in its previous game and the O/U was set at 49.5. The over cashed and Indianapolis did not cover in the 38-24 defeat to New England.

Over its last three games, Indianapolis is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

New York was a pick ’em in its last match and the O/U was set at 42. The over cashed and New York obviously covered in the 34-16 triumph over Denver.

*****

Written by GMS Previews

Week 6 Free Pick – San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers

Week 6 Free ATS Pick: Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings