The Cincinnati Reds will be squaring off against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Cincinnati (+150) is coming into this one as the underdog against Washington (-160) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -145 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +125 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Reds have gone 48-62 SU this year and are 63-46 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 4.3 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 6.0 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 56-53 SU and 52-56 ATS. They’ve lost 17.5 units for moneyline bettors and 6.5 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Nationals games have an over/under record of 45-61-2 in 2018. The Reds have been a good over bet with a total record of 58-47-4.
The right-handed Luis Castillo is the probable starter for the visiting Reds. Castillo is 6-8 with a 4.98 ERA and 110 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals will send righty Tanner Roark (5-12, 4.37 ERA) to the mound. Roark has 116 punchouts and 44 walks to his name, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Roark hasn’t faced the Reds yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 4.50 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.90, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.
The Washington hitters have put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 7.7 per game over its last 10 games and 9.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .322/.426/.579 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ offense this year. Turner is slashing .269/.341/.416 with 14 home runs, 47 RBIs, 68 runs and 30 steals, and Rendon’s line sits at .291/.351/.526 with 16 homers, 55 RBIs and 50 runs.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.47 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.14, along with a K/9 of 7.89.
Reds hitters have slashed .257/.339/.403 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is hitting .311/.361/.498 with 17 home runs, 67 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Peraza is hitting .282/.328/.388 with six homers, 38 RBIs, 56 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Reds have lost 5.3 units and are 46-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 3.6 units and are 41-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 32 of those games, as opposed to 46 that’ve cashed the under.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
Cincinnati has recorded 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.6 over its last five.
The Reds have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 15 over their last 10.
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