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San Francisco Giants at New York Mets Free Pick 08/21/18

Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants are set to play the New York Mets at Citi Field. This NL matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.

San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Odds

The Giants have gone 62-64 SU this year and are 69-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.8 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 54-70 SU and 57-65 ATS. They’ve lost 16.3 units for moneyline bettors and 14.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 54-62-6 in 2018. San Francisco has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 56-64-5.

Chris Stratton will get the start for San Francisco. The right-handed Stratton (8-7, 5.52 ERA) has racked up 79 strikeouts in 100 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets are sending lefty Steven Matz (5-10, 4.60 ERA) to the mound. Matz has 101 strikeouts and 42 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Matz did not record a start against the Giants in 2017.

New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.99 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.72 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The New York hitters have put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 7.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .235/.289/.310 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have paced the Mets’ hitters this year. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .246/.290/.369 with six homers, 40 RBIs, 55 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.21 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.25 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.59, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K-per-9 of 8.64.

Giants hitters have slashed .247/.312/.382 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford have led San Francisco’s hitters. McCutchen is hitting .257/.354/.414 with 14 home runs, 53 RBIs, 61 runs and 11 stolen bases. Crawford is hitting .266/.337/.414 with 11 homers, 45 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

The Giants have gained 2.6 units and are 27-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 11.3 units and are 43-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 46 which went under the total.

San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in just one of San Francisco’s last seven games.

New York has recorded 30.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.6 over its last five.

The Giants have hit two home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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