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Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup 09/04/18

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds will take on their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The matchup gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on both ATPT and FSOH.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (+125) as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-135). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. The game’s runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Pirates -1.5.

The Pirates are 67-71 straight up (SU) and 65-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.8 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Reds have gone 59-79 SU this year and are 78-59 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 6.6 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 5.7 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 61-67-9 in 2018. Reds games have gone over 71 times, gone under 62 times and pushed on four occasions.

Cody Reed is getting the start for the visiting Reds. The southpaw Reed is 0-1 with a 3.26 ERA and 17 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Pirates will turn to righty Joe Musgrove (5-8, 3.80 ERA) to the mound. Musgrove has 80 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name, as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Musgrove is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 12.46 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.16 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.23, along with a K/9 of 7.99.

Reds hitters have slashed .259/.336/.407 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .320/.368/.503 with 20 home runs, 82 RBIs and 80 runs scored. Peraza is hitting .285 with nine homers, 45 RBIs, 73 runs and 20 stolen bases.

For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 58 games against divisional foes, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.26.

Pittsburgh’s hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .198/.249/.278 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Pirates’ batters have been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson. Marte is hitting .276/.322/.451 with 17 home runs, 61 RBIs, 68 runs and 30 stolen bases, and Dickerson’s line is .291/.320/.453 with 11 homers, 46 RBIs and 54 runs scored.

The Reds have lost 10.6 units and are 55-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 7.8 units and are 17-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in four of Cincinnati’s last seven outings.

Cincinnati has posted 23 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21 over its last five.

The Reds have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit six over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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