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Toronto Raptors – Indiana Pacers Preview – 04.23.2016

The Toronto Raptors head to Indiana to take on the Pacers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, pitting the fifth-ranked offense against the third-ranked defense. The game starts at 3:00 pm ET on Saturday, Apr. 23 and will air on TNT and TOR.

The Pacers are hoping for a better outcome after their 101-85 loss to the Raptors on Thursday. Paul George recorded 25 points and 10 rebounds, earning his 16th double-double of the year.

It will be a battle of two heavyweights, as the high-powered offense of the Raptors (fifth in the league with an offensive efficiency of 107.9) takes the court against the top-notch defense of the Pacers (third in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 100.9).

The Pacers have gone 46-39 Straight Up (SU) and 43-42 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (7-3). Indiana is the league’s top scoring team off turnovers with an average of 18.9 points per game.

On the other side, the Raptors head into the game with records of 46-38-1 ATS and 58-27 SU. Against the Eastern Conference, Toronto is 58-27 SU and 46-38-1 ATS. The Raptors are one of the top defensive teams in the league, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 97.9 points allowed per game.

The Raptors’ win over Indiana in their last clash moved their SU record in the last 10 against Indiana to 8-2. The Raptors also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 8-2.

Predictions: SU Winner – Tor

Notes

“Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games “.

“Indiana is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games “.

“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana’s last 5 games “.

“Indiana is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home”.

“The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana’s last 9 games at home”.

“Indiana is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Toronto”.

“Indiana is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto”.

“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana’s last 6 games when playing Toronto”.

“Indiana is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto”.

“Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto”.

“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana’s last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto”.

On average, Toronto scores 102.5 points per game (ranked 14th), while Indiana gives up 100.3 points per game (ranked eighth).

Toronto puts up an average of 100.5 points per away game (ranked 16th), while Indiana allows 98.9 points per home game (ranked ninth).

The Toronto Raptors have a stellar 47-5 record when their opponents score fewer than 100 points this season. The Indiana Pacers are 15-22 when they score less than 100.

When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Raptors are just 11-22 this season. Indiana is a winning 31-17 when registering triple digits.

The Pacers have a defensive rating of 100.9, third-best in the NBA. The Raptors also rank in the top half of the league for their offensive rating of 107.9 (ranked fifth).

Toronto has an average field goal percentage of 44.9%. Indiana is a poor 10-23 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.

The Indiana Pacers average 22.0 three point attempts per game and are 19-15 when attempting at least 25 in a game. The Toronto Raptors average 23.0 attempts and have a solid record (23-11) when attempting 25 or more.

The Indiana Pacers rank 25th with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.47. The Toronto Raptors have a higher A/TO (1.53), ranking 21st.

The Pacers rank 13th in rebounds per game with 43.9, while the Raptors rank 16th with 43.5 per game.

Indiana is ranked 12th in defensive rebounds, while Toronto ranks 16th in offensive rebounds.

Though Indiana is one of the best in the league in forcing turnovers with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.3% (ranked fifth), Toronto has a formidable 16-5 record SU when its TOV% is 15.3% or greater.

Written by GMS Previews

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