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Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview 05/27/18

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays are ready to face the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET and RSN Sports will broadcast this interleague matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (+100) is the home-team underdog to Toronto (-110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+135) and Phillies +1.5 runs (-155).

The Phillies are 29-20 SU and 23-25 ATS. They’ve gained 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.4 units against the spread (ATS). Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Blue Jays are 24-28 SU and have gone 26-25 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.2 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 0.9 units ATS. Torontohas covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in two of those seven.

Philadelphia games have a 21-24-3 over/under record so far in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone over 22 times, gone under 21 times and pushed on eight occasions.

Left-hander J.A. Happ will get the start for the visiting Blue Jays. Happ is 6-3 with a 3.97 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies will turn to righty Nick Pivetta (4-2, 3.23 ERA) to the mound. Pivetta has 60 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.08. Pivetta did not record a start against the Blue Jays in 2017.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.33, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .226/.297/.396 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the charge for the Phillies’ offense so far. Herrera is slashing .333/.398/.522 with seven home runs, 30 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line is .269/.377/.419 with six homers, 17 RBIs, 35 runs and nine stolen bases.

Compared to his total season slash line of .296/.376/.425, Hernandez performed well against left-handed pitching at home in 2017, producing .352/.410/.577 across 78 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.20 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.10 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.74, along with a WHIP of 1.45 and a K/9 of 9.02.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .229/.310/.408 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte continue to lead Toronto’s offense. Pillar is hitting .283/.325/.466 with four home runs, 21 RBIs, 26 runs and eight steals, while Solarte (.267/.332/.497) is up to 11 homers, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have gained 0.1 units and are 14-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 3.8 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to six that went under the total.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Toronto has posted 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.0 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 13 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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