The No. 10 Nevada Wolf Pack (17-1, 4-1 MWC) will try to prolong their 12-game home winning streak when they square off against the Air Force Falcons (7-10, 2-3 MWC), who look to put an end to their five-game road losing streak. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 19, 2019, and will air on ESPNU.
Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Free Prediction
In the Falcons’ last game, they blew out the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels, 106-88. The Falcons had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 7.3 (better than their season average of 20.4), while the Runnin’ Rebels had a free throw rate of 0.226 (below their season average of 0.279). Air Force received a boost from Ryan Swan, who was the team’s leading scorer with 22 points on 8-for-14 shooting.
The Wolf Pack edged the Boise State Broncos in their last contest, 72-71. Nevada had an effective field goal percentage of 0.598 (above their season average of 0.527). Boise State, on the other hand, held the Wolf Pack to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.3 (below their season average of 27.7). With 15 points and 13 rebounds, Nevada’s Jordan Caroline put together a good performance.
After the Wolf Pack won the sole contest against the Falcons last season, 86-75, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. The Wolf Pack made 13 of their 15 free throws (86.7 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (40.7 vs. 30.0).
Nevada could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense squares off against one of the nation’s worst defenses. The Wolf Pack rank 28th in offensive efficiency, while Air Force ranks 277th in defensive efficiency. Furthermore, the Falcons rank 261st in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.211), while the Wolf Pack rank 31st in opponents’ FTA rate (0.178).
Air Force Falcons at Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Nevada, ATS Winner – Air Force, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Nevada ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (4.4) while Air Force ranks 164th (8.1).
The Wolf Pack rank 75th in rebounds per game (37.7) while the Falcons rank 231st (32.8).
Nevada ranks 47th in three pointers attempted per game (25.9) while Air Force ranks 202nd (20.2).
The Wolf Pack rank 47th in blocks per game (4.3) while the Falcons rank 176th (1.8).
Nevada averages 15.1 assists per game, which ranks 66th in the NCAA. Air Force ranks 155th in assists allowed per game (14.0).
Bettings Trends:
The Falcons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.0, up from 2.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wolf Pack have scored an average of 73.6 points per game (6.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 64.4 points per game (2.2 below their season average).
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