In a game that features two of the country’s best programs, the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (-13.5) are taking on their conference rival LSU Tigers at Tiger Stadium. The game will get underway at 8:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to televise the action.
Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers Betting Preview
LSU is entering this SEC game as a big underdog and is currently being given 13.5 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to put down $600 to net $100 back on the Crimson Tide (-600). The Tigers are getting +425 moneyline odds. If one school gets out in front early it’ll create a worthy live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 53 points.
This game’s opening line was 14. The total hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 53.
The Crimson Tide have gained 0.0 units so far in 2018 and are 5-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 6-2. The surprising Tigers have gained 8.4 units this season. They’re 5-3 ATS and the over has hit in five of their games.
The Crimson Tide are 8-0 straight up (SU), including 5-0 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 7-1 SU overall and are also 4-1 SU in conference play.
The Crimson Tide are hoping to remain unbeaten after a 58-21 win over Tennessee on October 20. The defense did its part in the win, holding the Volunteers to just 227 passing yards and 31 rushing yards. Jauan Jennings had a productive day for the Volunteers in that one with 102 yards on six catches. Offensively, Tua Tagovailoa completed 19-of-29 passes for 306 yards and four touchdowns. Brian Robinson Jr. (60 yards on 13 rush attempts) and Josh Jacobs (68 yards on 12 carries, two TDs) led the ground attack while Jerry Jeudy (five receptions, 72 yards, one TD) and Irv Smith Jr. (five catches, 50 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the win.
LSU just earned a 19-3 win over Mississippi State a couple of weeks ago. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Bulldogs to run for 201 yards on 37 rush attempts. Nick Fitzgerald was a bright spot in the loss, recording 131 rushing yards on 23 attempts for Mississippi State. For LSU, Joe Burrow completed 16-of-28 passes for 129 yards and one interception. Nick Brossette (57 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and Clyde Edwards-Helaire (46 yards on 16 carries) handled the running game as Dee Anderson (three receptions, 29 yards) and Justin Jefferson (three catches, 18 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Each squad sports a remarkably similar (61-39) run-pass ratio on the season. The Crimson Tide have rushed for 217 yards/game (including 193 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have 21 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tigers are totaling 191 rushing yards per game (193 in conference) and have 19 total rush TDs.
Based on the results so far, it appears the Crimson Tide should own the advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness, as their running backs has produced 5.2 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.5 to opponents. The Tigers have recorded 4.3 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 3.7 to opponents.
The Tide offensive scheme has tallied a superb 347 yards per game in the air overall (364 per game versus conference opposition) and has 31 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have produced 193 pass yards per game (212.4 against SEC competition) and have six total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Alabama has allowed 113 rush yards and 195 pass yards per game. The LSU defense has given up 199.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 130.5 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Tide have given up an ANY/A of 3.76 to opposing QBs, while the Tigers are allowing an ANY/A of 3.38.
Passing-wise, Tagovailoa is up to 1,801 yards on the year, and has completed 95-of-130 attempts with 22 passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Tagovailoa has a pristine 16.88 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 13.44 over the past two games.
Joe Burrow has completed 105-of-193 passes for 1,344 yards, six TDs and three INTs for LSU. His ANY/A sits at 6.03 for the season and 3.94 across his past two games.
When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Alabama knocked off LSU by a couple of touchdowns 24-10.
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Over/Under for Alabama’s last game was 58. The over cashed in the team’s 58-21 victory over Tennessee.
Alabama has averaged 5.1 yards per carry across its past three games and 4.6 over its last two.
LSU has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and only 4.1 over its last two.
Both teams have lost four fumbles this season.
In its last three contests, Alabama is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for LSU’s last outing was set at 45. The under cashed in the team’s 19-3 triumph over Mississippi State.
Over its last three games, LSU is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Crimson Tide offense has recorded 17 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Tigers have put up five such plays.
The Alabama defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while LSU has given up three such plays.
The Alabama offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while LSU has created nine such runs.
The Crimson Tide defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Tigers have given up five such runs.
The Alabama defense has 26 sacks on the year while LSU has just 18.
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