The Vanderbilt Commodores (9-13, 0-9 SEC) will try to put an end to their 10-game losing streak when they go head-to-head with the Alabama Crimson Tide (14-8, 5-4 SEC) at Memorial Gym. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 9, 2019, and will air on SEC Network.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodores ATS Prediction
In the Crimson Tide’s last game, they defeated the Georgia Bulldogs, 89-74. Alabama’s 0.276 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Georgia, who had a rate of 0.141. The Crimson Tide’s mark matched their season average, while the Bulldogs’ was below their season average of 0.301. Alabama was lifted by Kira Lewis Jr., who put up 24 points and seven assists.
The Commodores lost a close one to the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last outing, 69-66. Arkansas’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Vanderbilt. The Razorbacks posted a mark of 15.5 (stronger than their season average of 16.2), while the Commodores had a rate of 19.4. With 18 points on 6-for-11 shooting, Joe Toye was Vanderbilt’s leading scorer.
After the Commodores won the lone game against the Crimson Tide last season, 76-75, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. Vanderbilt had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 vs. 14.3). Alabama, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (14.0 vs. 15.5).
The physical Vanderbilt offense could be living from the foul line in this meeting. The Commodores rank eighth in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.305, while Alabama ranks 114th in FTA rate allowed (0.213).
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Alabama, ATS Winner – Vanderbilt, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Alabama ranks 42nd in rebounds per game (38.6) while Vanderbilt ranks 147th in rebounds allowed per game (35.0).
The Commodores rank 50th in blocks per game (4.2) while the Crimson Tide rank 154th in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
Alabama ranks 33rd in three pointers allowed per game (19.2) while Vanderbilt ranks 95th (21.3).
The Crimson Tide rank 38th in assists allowed per game (11.3) while the Commodores rank 92nd (12.3).
Bettings Trends:
The Crimson Tide’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, down from 3.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Commodores have scored an average of 64.6 points per game (9.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 81.4 points per game (8.0 above their season average).
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