The Arizona Diamondbacks will head east to square off against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Arizona will televise this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Vegas is listing Arizona (-120) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+110). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +125 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -145 for the Reds +1.5.
The Diamondbacks have gone 63-51 SU this year and are 59-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.0 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 48-64 SU and 66-49 ATS. They’ve lost 5.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 5.2 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 60-51-4 in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 54-57-5.
Clay Buchholz is getting the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. The right-handed Buchholz is 5-1 with a 2.68 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 7.20 ERA and three strikeouts across five innings).
The Reds are handing the ball to righty Anthony DeSclafani (4-3, 5.47 ERA), who has 48 strikeouts and 17 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.35 WHIP. DeSclafani did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.30, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.09 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.8 K/9.
The Cincinnati hitters have put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .226/.282/.315 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ hitters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .311/.362/.494 with 17 home runs, 67 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Peraza’s line is .279/.323/.382 with six homers, 39 RBIs, 57 runs and 17 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.96 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.38 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.06, along with a K-per-9 of 7.89.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .237/.318/.402 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Arizona’s hitters have been led by left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who collectively have belted 43 home runs. Peralta is slashing .298/.355/.516 with 19 home runs, 56 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Goldschmidt (.274/.385/.513) is up to 24 homers, 60 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have gained 4.8 units and are 40-34 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 9.3 units and are 47-38 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 43 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
The Diamondbacks have won three of their last four games SU.
Cincinnati has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.2 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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