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Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins Free Pick 06/27/18

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. This NL showdown will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (+150) is the home-team underdog against Arizona (-160) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).

The Diamondbacks are 45-34 SU and have gone 42-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.7 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 32-48 SU and 42-37 ATS. They’ve gained 1.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.6 units ATS.

Miami games have an over/under record of 42-37 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 38-36-4.

The southpaw Robbie Ray is getting the nod for the visiting Diamondbacks. Ray (2-0, 4.88 ERA) has recorded 45 punchouts in 27.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins will send lefty Wei-Yin Chen (2-4, 6.70 ERA) to the mound. Chen has 36 strikeouts and 24 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.69. Chen did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.

Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.81, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.90 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The Miami hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .277/.345/.435 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is slashing .299/.373/.419 with four home runs, 38 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Castro’s line is .270/.318/.376 with four homers, 29 RBIs and 46 runs.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.52, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .226/.307/.398 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt continue to lead Arizona’s hitters. Peralta is hitting .284/.347/.514 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 37 runs scored. Goldschmidt (.264/.375/.524) is up to 17 homers, 41 RBIs and 55 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have gained 9.4 units and are 15-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 3.5 units and are 15-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 10 which went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in only one of Miami’s last seven games.

The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six games SU.

Arizona has recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 10 home runs over their last 10 games.

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