Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves Odds
Arizona (-110) is entering this one as the favorite against Atlanta (+100) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +135 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -155 for the Braves +1.5.
The Diamondbacks have gone 53-43 SU this year and are 49-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.3 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 51-42 SU and 48-43 ATS. They’ve gained 13.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.7 units ATS. Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Atlanta games have an over/under record of 45-42-4 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 44-46-5.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin is getting the nod for Arizona. Corbin (6-3, 3.02 ERA) has racked up 146 punchouts in 116.1 innings so far. He has yet to face Atlanta this year, but he made two starts against the Braves in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record against them with a 3.27 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
The Braves are putting the ball in the right hand of Julio Teheran (6-6, 4.26 ERA), who’s got 92 strikeouts and 48 walks this season as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Teheran did not record a start against the Diamondbacks in 2017.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
Atlanta’s hitters have put up 4.8 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.306/.339 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have paced the Braves’ offense this year. Markakis is slashing .323/.388/.489 with 10 home runs, 60 RBIs and 55 runs scored, and Freeman’s line is .315/.404/.532 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.07 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.27 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.84, along with a K-per-9 of 7.78.
The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .230/.310/.395 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta continue to lead Arizona’s hitters. Goldschmidt is hitting .281/.387/.537 with 21 home runs, 52 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Peralta (.285/.348/.500) is up to 16 homers, 53 RBIs and 43 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have gained 0.7 units and are 32-29 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, as opposed to 29 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 2.8 units and are 12-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 11 that went under.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER
The over has cashed in just two of Arizona’s last seven games.
The Braves have lost four of their last five games SU.
Arizona has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.6 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit six over their last 10.
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