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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Matchup 07/26/18

Jim Young-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks will play the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. This NL showdown will begin at 2:20 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 59-42 straight up (SU) and 51-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors and 3.9 units (ATS). The Diamondbacks are 56-47 SU and have gone 53-49 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 6.5 units for moneyline bettors and 8.2 units ATS.

Cubs games have a 48-51-1 over/under record in 2018. Diamondbacks games have gone under 51 times, gone over 46 times and pushed on five occasions.

The right-handed Zack Godley is the projected starter for Arizona. Godley (11-6, 4.65 ERA) has recorded 114 strikeouts in 110.1 innings so far. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 1.54 ERA and 13 strikeouts.

The Cubs are handing the ball to righty Tyler Chatwood (4-5, 4.84 ERA), who has 78 punchouts and 79 walks, as well as a 1.75 WHIP. Chatwood made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record in 2017, posting a 1-1 record with a 3.21 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.24 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.94, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .232/.312/.393 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta have paced Arizona’s offense. Goldschmidt is slashing .279/.384/.526 with 22 home runs, 54 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Peralta (.288/.346/.495) has produced 16 homers, 53 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

Chicago’s hitters are putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .237/.320/.301 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Cubs’ hitters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr.. Baez is hitting .295/.327/.553 with 19 home runs, 74 RBIs, 63 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Almora Jr.’s line is .320/.357/.438 with four homers, 29 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have gained 1.5 units and are 35-31 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 7.3 units and are 37-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve cashed the under.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in five of Chicago’s last seven games.

Arizona fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to zero errors for Chicago over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit eight over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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