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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies Matchup 09/11/18

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks are ready to take on their divisional foe Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. The action will begin at 8:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona is in line to broadcast the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Odds

Arizona (-115) is favored against Colorado (+105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Runline odds stand at +130 for taking the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -150 for the Rockies +1.5 runs.

The Rockies are 79-64 straight up (SU) and 73-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.7 units (ATS). Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have gone 76-68 SU this year and are 72-71 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 6.1 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Colorado games have an over/under record of 60-76-6 in 2018. Diamondbacks games have gone under 73 times, gone over 64 times and pushed on six occasions.

Zack Greinke is getting the nod for Arizona. The right-handed Greinke is 13-9 with a 3.08 ERA and 180 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 27 strikeouts and a 2.33 ERA against Colorado this year (three starts).

The Rockies are handing the ball to righty Antonio Senzatela (4-5, 4.92 ERA), who’s got 52 strikeouts and 23 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Senzatela is 0-2 with seven strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.28, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.86 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 64 games against NL West opponents, Rockies starters have an ERA of 4.05 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.17.

The Colorado offense is putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .290/.333/.574 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Rockies’ hitters have been led by shortstop Trevor Story and right fielder Charlie Blackmon. Story is slashing .293/.348/.559 with 32 home runs, 99 RBIs, 78 runs and 25 stolen bases, and Blackmon’s line sits at .286/.352/.493 with 26 homers, 62 RBIs, 106 runs and 12 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.73 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.35 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.44, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .238/.317/.398 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Arizona’s hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta, who collectively have blasted 59 home runs. Goldschmidt is hitting .299/.402/.558 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 90 runs scored, while Peralta is hitting .297/.355/.518 with 26 homers, 76 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 1.8 units and are 48-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 9.0 units and are 42-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 43 which went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Arizona has recorded 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Colorado has 24 XBH over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have dropped four of their last five games SU.

Arizona fielders have 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Colorado over its last 10.

The Diamondbacks have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 18 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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