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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick 06/25/18

The Arizona Diamondbacks are traveling east to face off against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. This NL matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona to catch the action.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins Odds

Arizona (-120) is hosting this one as the favorite against Miami (+110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. Runline odds sit at +125 for betting the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -145 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Diamondbacks have gone 44-33 SU this year and are 41-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 9.7 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 31-47 SU and 40-37 ATS. The team’s lost 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 40-37 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 37-35-4.

Shelby Miller will get the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. The right-handed Miller has yet to pitch in the majors this year.

The Marlins will send righty Dan Straily (2-3, 4.89 ERA) to the mound. Straily has 39 strikeouts and 25 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.50. Straily is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA in one start against Arizona this year.

Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.96 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.12 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.46, along with a WHIP of 1.23.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .227/.307/.399 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt continue to lead Arizona’s offense. Peralta is slashing .278/.341/.509 with 15 home runs, 43 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Goldschmidt (.264/.376/.529) is up to 17 homers, 41 RBIs and 54 runs scored.

For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.83 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.91 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

Miami’s offense has put up 3.6 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .284/.338/.432 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .294/.369/.415 with four home runs, 36 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Castro’s line is .267/.314/.366 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 44 runs.

The Diamondbacks have gained 0.5 units and are 26-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 4.4 units and are 25-30 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 28 of those games, compared to 27 that went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Arizona has logged 18 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 17 XBH over its last five.

Miami has posted 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.

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