Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-120) is favored over Arizona (+110) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at -190 for betting the Diamondbacks +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 15-8 SU and 8-14 ATS. The team has gained 5.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.2 units against the spread (ATS). Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Diamondbacks have gone 16-7 SU this year and are 13-9 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 10.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early portions of the season and 5.5 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 9-10-3 so far in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 10-11-1.
The right-handed Matt Koch will get the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. Koch is 0-0 with a 1.13 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Ben Lively (0-1, 4.64 ERA), who’s got 21 punchouts and six walks, as well as a 1.55 WHIP. Lively made two starts against the Diamondbacks in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 5.56 ERA.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.08, a WHIP of 1.13 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 3.33 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .248/.320/.360 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Left fielder Rhys Hoskins and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ hitters so far. Hoskins is hitting .324/.484/.592 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line sits at .313/.431/.434 with 26 hits, 10 RBIs, 18 runs and five steals.
In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.91 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 1.84, along with a K/9 of 8.85.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .227/.312/.399 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Arizona’s offensive production been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and right fielder A.J. Pollock. Goldschmidt is slashing .259/.400/.519 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Pollock is hitting .280/.341/.585 with five homers, 17 RBIs, 14 runs and six stolen bases.
Maintaining a slash line of .264/.368/.462 across 250 such plate appearances, Goldschmidt did not do as well hitting against righties on the road last year (compared to his overall season slash line of .298/.405/.560).
The Diamondbacks have gained 0.5 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 0.9 units and are 4-12 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to nine that went under.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER
The Phillies have won five of their last six games SU.
Philadelphia has recorded 20 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit five over their last 10.
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