Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Vegas has listed Arizona (-115) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+105). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over eight runs and -110 for under eight. The game’s current runline odds stand at +130 for taking the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -150 for the Pirates +1.5.
The Pirates are 36-38 straight up (SU) and 32-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.8 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks have gone 41-33 SU this year and are 39-34 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 6.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.4 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in three of those seven.
Neither side has established itself as an obvious over/under bet this season. Pittsburgh games have a 34-33-6 over/under record so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 35-34-4.
Patrick Corbin will get the start for the visiting Diamondbacks. The left-handed Corbin is 6-3 with a 3.39 ERA and 117 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are going with righty Ivan Nova (4-5, 4.42 ERA), who has 58 strikeouts and 15 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.32. Nova has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 4.15 ERA and seven strikeouts.
Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.25, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.31 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Pittsburgh’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .253/.313/.414 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have paced the Pirates’ offense this year. Dickerson is slashing .302/.336/.453 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .280/.335/.473 with nine homers, 34 RBIs, 38 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.00 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.52, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 7.82.
Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .227/.309/.401 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Arizona’s offense has been sparked by outfielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who’ve collectively belted 30 home runs. Peralta is hitting .277/.338/.496 with 14 home runs, 39 RBIs and 34 runs scored. Goldschmidt is hitting .266/.376/.528 with 16 homers, 40 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
The Diamondbacks have lost 2.6 units and are 24-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 3.3 units and are 5-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to five that’ve cashed the under.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
The over has cashed in three of Arizona’s last seven contests.
The Pirates have dropped three of their last four games SU.
Pittsburgh has posted 21 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20 over its last five.
The Diamondbacks have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit nine over their last 10.
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