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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Preview 06/21/18

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks are traveling east to play the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. Fox Sports Arizona will be showing this NL matchup and the first pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Arizona (+100) is the underdog to Pittsburgh (-110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-210) and Pirates -1.5 runs (+175).

The Pirates are 36-37 straight up (SU) and 32-41 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors and 11.8 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks are 40-33 SU and have gone 39-34 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 6.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.4 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.

Neither team has positioned itself as an obvious over/under play this season. Pirates games have an over/under record of 34-33-6 so far in 2018. Arizona has an over/under record of 35-34-4.

The right-handed Zack Godley is getting the nod for Arizona. Godley (7-5, 4.77 ERA) has recorded 78 punchouts in 77.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 4.50 ERA and six strikeouts over six innings).

The Pirates are going with righty Chad Kuhl (5-4, 3.76 ERA), who has 75 strikeouts and 30 walks, as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Kuhl only made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2017 (0-0, 3.60 ERA and four strikeouts across five innings).

Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.09, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Pittsburgh offense has produced 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .250/.312/.410 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have led the Pirates’ offense this year. Dickerson is slashing .302/.336/.453 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .280/.332/.470 with nine homers, 33 RBIs, 36 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.15 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.02 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.55, along with a WHIP of 1.27.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .227/.308/.399 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt continue to lead Arizona’s hitters. Peralta is slashing .277/.337/.500 with 14 home runs, 39 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Goldschmidt (.266/.376/.532) has produced 16 homers, 39 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 2.6 units and are 24-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 0.1 units and are 27-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 23 of those games, compared to 28 which went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in only two of Arizona’s last seven games.

The Arizona defense has allowed five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Pittsburgh over its last 10.

The Diamondbacks have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit nine over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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