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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Free Preview 08/17/18

Diamondbacks vs Nationals
Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to play their division rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Fox Sports Arizona is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Odds

San Diego (+115) is the underdog to Arizona (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +120 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs and -140 for the Padres +1.5.

The Diamondbacks have gone 67-55 SU this year and are 61-60 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, gaining 2.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.1 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 48-76 SU and 57-66 ATS. The team’s lost 13.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.9 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 59-59-5 in 2018. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 56-59-6.

Robbie Ray will get the start for Arizona. The southpaw Ray (3-2, 4.83 ERA) has recorded 101 strikeouts in 76.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and an 8.31 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres are sending lefty Joey Lucchesi (6-6, 3.45 ERA) to the mound. Lucchesi has 93 punchouts and 31 walks to his name, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Lucchesi is 0-3 with 12 strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA across three starts against Arizona this year.

Arizona’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.83 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.14, along with a K-per-9 of 7.87.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .238/.317/.404 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta continue to lead Arizona’s hitters. Goldschmidt is hitting .284/.387/.533 with 27 home runs, 65 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Peralta (.300/.359/.528) has produced 22 homers, 64 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.14 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 49 games against NL West opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.21.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .213/.272/.369 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .255/.320/.389 with 11 home runs, 49 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Galvis has put up a line of .237/.295/.364 with 10 homers, 50 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have gained 0.6 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 10.1 units and are 13-24 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Arizona has tallied 21 extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Diego has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Padres have dropped five of their last six games SU.

Arizona has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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