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Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Free Pick 05/01/18

David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves will head north to square off against their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The action will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast the game.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds

Vegas has listed New York (-185) as the favorite over Atlanta (+175). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 7 runs and even money (+100) for under 7. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -125 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +105 for the Mets -1.5 runs.

The Mets are 17-9 SU and 15-11 ATS. They’ve gained 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.1 units against the spread (ATS). New York has a – ATS mark over its last seven games and the . The Braves are 16-11 SU and have gone 17-10 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 8.3 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season and 7.3 units ATS. Atlanta is – ATS over its last seven games and the .

Mets games have a 14-11-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 13-11-3.

The southpaw Sean Newcomb is the projected starter for Atlanta. Newcomb is 1-1 with a 4.23 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against New York this year (three starts).

The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Noah Syndergaard (2-0, 2.86 ERA), who’s got 46 strikeouts and five walks as well as a 1.01 WHIP. Syndergaard is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.42 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.15 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.33.

The Braves offense has slashed .268/.344/.440 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been powered by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who have combined to blast 13 home runs. Freeman is slashing .314/.437/.559 with four home runs, 19 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Albies (.293/.341/.647) has produced nine homers, 20 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.11, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.3. The bullpen has a 3.39 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 14 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.14.

New York’s hitters have produced 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .253/.324/.358 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led the Mets’ batters this year. Cabrera is slashing .340/.393/.580 with five home runs, 17 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Frazier’s line is .256/.395/.444 with four homers, 17 RBIs and 16 runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.351/.434, Cabrera did not do very well against left-handed pitchers at home in 2017, slashing .268/.288/.286 over 59 such plate appearances.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Braves have won four of their last five games SU.

Atlanta has posted 26.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.8 over its last five.

The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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