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Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees Free Preview 07/04/18

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves are ready to take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Fox Sports Southeast will be televising this interleague showdown and the game is scheduled to get going at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees Odds

New York (-180) is hosting this one as the favorite over Atlanta (+170) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Braves +1.5 runs (-130) and Yankees -1.5 runs (+110).

The Yankees are 55-28 straight up (SU) and 44-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.8 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Braves are 49-35 SU and have gone 45-37 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 19.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

New York games have had an over/under record of 35-44-3 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 40-38-4.

Julio Teheran will get the start for Atlanta. The right-handed Teheran is 6-5 with a 4.21 ERA and 77 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Yankees are sending lefty CC Sabathia (5-3, 3.02 ERA) to the mound. Sabathia has 66 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.24. Sabathia did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.85, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.75, a WHIP of 1.09 and a K/9 of 12.0.

The New York offense has produced 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .275/.361/.579 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have led the Yankees’ offense this year. Stanton is slashing .267/.339/.509 with 20 home runs, 48 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Judge’s line is .281/.401/.570 with 23 homers, 56 RBIs and 60 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.41 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.69 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.22, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Braves offense has slashed .261/.329/.427 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .326/.392/.498 with 10 home runs, 58 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Freeman is hitting .309/.398/.532 with 16 homers, 56 RBIs and 54 runs scored.

The Braves have gained 3.8 units and are 12-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 1.9 units and are 31-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 29 which went under the total.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Atlanta has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 23 XBH over its last five.

Atlanta has posted 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.8 over its last five.

The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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