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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals Betting Preview 07/21/18

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves are ready to square off against their NL East foe Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the action. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals Odds

Vegas is listing Atlanta (+125) as the underdog to Washington (-135). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -170 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +150 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.

The Braves have gone 53-42 SU this year and are 49-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 2.1 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 48-49 SU and 44-52 ATS. The team’s lost 17.9 units for moneyline bettors and 11.2 units ATS.

Nationals games have had an over/under record of 38-56-2 so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 45-44-4.

Sean Newcomb will get the start for the visiting Braves. The left-handed Newcomb (8-5, 3.51 ERA) has racked up 97 strikeouts in 105 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with eight strikeouts and a 5.56 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).

The Nationals are putting the ball in the left hand of Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 3.72 ERA), who has 94 strikeouts and 48 walks this season as well as a 1.46 WHIP. Gonzalez is 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.57 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.74 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.26, along with a K-per-9 of 9.02.

Braves hitters have slashed .259/.328/.421 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman continue to lead Atlanta’s hitters. Markakis is slashing .323/.387/.485 with 10 home runs, 62 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Freeman is hitting .316 with 16 homers, 64 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.06, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 38 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.89 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.27.

Washington’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .254/.323/.432 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have paced the Nationals’ hitters this year. Turner is slashing .267/.343/.408 with 12 home runs, 40 RBIs, 56 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line is .285/.350/.522 with 15 homers, 45 RBIs and 45 runs.

The Braves have gained 4.0 units and are 13-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 14.8 units and are 10-18 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in five of Atlanta’s last seven games.

Washington has posted 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.6 over its last five.

The Braves have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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