The Atlanta Braves are paying a visit to Marlins Park to face their division nemesis Miami Marlins. Fox SportsNet Florida will be airing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (-170) as the favorite over Miami (+160). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. The game’s runline odds sit at -120 for taking the Braves -1.5 runs and +100 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Braves are 71-55 SU and are 65-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 19.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.0 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 51-77 SU and 65-62 ATS. They’ve lost 3.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.3 units ATS.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 64-59-4 in 2018. Braves games have gone under 60 times, gone over 59 times and pushed on five instances.
Sean Newcomb is getting the start for the visiting Braves. The southpaw Newcomb is 10-6 with a 3.73 ERA and 123 strikeouts. He’s 3-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 1.00 ERA against Miami this year (three starts).
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of Elieser Hernandez (2-6, 5.08 ERA), who has 39 strikeouts and 22 walks, as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Hernandez is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.13 ERA against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.54 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.59 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.15, along with a K-per-9 of 9.18.
Braves hitters have slashed .260/.327/.425 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .319/.401/.527 with 20 home runs, 78 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Markakis has a .313 average with 14 homers, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored.
For the home team, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.55 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 54 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.61.
The Miami offense has put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .296/.361/.485 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .287/.338/.405 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 70 runs scored, while Anderson’s line is .278/.357/.398 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 0.2 units and are 19-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in six of Atlanta’s last seven games.
The Marlins have won three of their last four games SU.
Atlanta has recorded 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.2 over its last five.
Both teams have hit 11 home runs over their last 10 games.
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