The Miami Marlins are trying to avoid losing their fourth consecutive game they play host to the Atlanta Braves at Marlins Park. The matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox SportsNet Florida.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+110) is the underdog to Atlanta (-120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Braves -1.5 runs (+125) and Marlins 1.5 runs (-145).
The Braves have gone 21-14 SU this year and are 21-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 8.3 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 13-23 SU and 18-17 ATS. The team’s lost 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.8 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 16-19 so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 16-15-3.
Mike Foltynewicz will get the nod for the Braves. The right-handed Foltynewicz is 2-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 2-1 record with a 3.08 ERA and 31 strikeouts.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the left hand of Caleb Smith (2-3, 3.67 ERA), who has 48 strikeouts and 17 walks as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Smith did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.89, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 5.19 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In nine games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 5.70 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.03.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.4 runs per outing, including 2.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .226/.293/.369 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Justin Bour and catcher J.T. Realmuto have paced the Marlins’ hitters this year. Bour is hitting .231/.352/.444 with seven home runs, 18 RBIs and 12 runs scored. Realmuto is hitting .309 with 21 hits, eight RBIs and 12 runs.
Realmuto didn’t seem to enjoy batting against righty pitching at home in 2017. Slashing .194/.260/.269 over 204 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .278/.332/.451).
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.31.
Braves hitters have slashed .268/.337/.437 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been powered by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. They have combined to belt 12 home runs. Markakis is hitting .338/.419/.554 with seven home runs, 28 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Freeman (.301/.406/.519) is up to five homers, 26 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
Freeman taken a step back when hitting lefties last season, putting up a slash line of .278/.357/.524 across 143 plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .307/.403/.586).
The Braves have gained 0.9 units and are 3-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games. Compared to four that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.8 units. They also are 13-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 16 which went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Braves have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
Miami has posted 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests. And 19.8 over its last five.
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