The Atlanta Braves will face off against their division rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The matchup will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the action.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (-125) as the favorite over New York (+115). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +120 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -140 for the Mets +1.5.
The Mets are 45-63 straight up (SU) and 47-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 21.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.6 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Braves have gone 59-48 SU this year and are 56-49 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 16.8 units for moneyline bettors and 3.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 45-56-5 in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 51-50-4.
The right-handed Julio Teheran is projected to start for the visiting Braves. Teheran (8-7, 4.46 ERA) has recorded 105 strikeouts in 115 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 0.86 ERA against New York this year (three starts).
The Mets will put the ball in the left hand of Steven Matz (5-9, 4.35 ERA, 1.34 WHIP), who has 99 strikeouts and 41 walks. Matz is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.70 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.66 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.08, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
Braves hitters have slashed .258/.326/.420 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Atlanta’s offensive production has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis, who’ve collectively blasted 30 home runs. Freeman is slashing .317/.399/.529 with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Markakis (.313/.382/.481) is up to 12 homers, 67 RBIs and 61 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 44 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.01.
The New York hitters have produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .200/.247/.350 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .235/.277/.356 with four homers, 28 RBIs, 40 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 14.5 units and are 34-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 33 of those games, as opposed to 40 that’ve gone under against righties.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in six of Atlanta’s last seven games.
New York has recorded 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.4 over its last five.
Both teams have hit 10 home runs over their last 10 games.
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