The Atlanta Braves are set to take on their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast the matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers are listing New York (-155) as the favorite over Atlanta (+145). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 7 runs and -105 for under 7. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Braves +1.5 runs (-150) and Mets -1.5 runs (+130).
The Braves have gone 89-68 SU this year and are 80-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 22.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 73-84 SU and 78-77 ATS. The team’s lost 9.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.4 units ATS.
New York games have a 68-78-9 over/under record in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 75-74-6.
The left-handed Sean Newcomb will get the nod for Atlanta. Newcomb is 12-9 with a 4.04 ERA and 151 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.38 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets will turn to righty Jacob deGrom (9-9, 1.77 ERA) to the mound. deGrom has 259 punchouts and 46 walks to his credit, as well as a 0.94 WHIP. deGrom is 0-2 with 40 strikeouts and a 1.09 ERA across five starts against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.57 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.58 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 8.83.
Braves hitters have slashed .258/.328/.422 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis continue to lead Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is slashing .310/.388/.505 with 23 home runs, 95 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis has a .303 average with 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.67, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.03 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 71 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.08.
New York’s offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .223/.340/.354 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ batters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is hitting .259/.298/.388 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs, 76 runs and 22 stolen bases, and Conforto’s line is .244/.350/.448 with 27 homers, 81 RBIs and 75 runs.
The Braves have gained 24.7 units and are 62-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 52 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 7.1 units and are 20-21 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 22 which went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Atlanta defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to four errors for New York over its last five.
The Braves have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit five over their last 10.
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