In the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (13-14) and the Philadelphia Phillies (13-14) at Turner Field, Mike Foltynewicz (1-0, 3.60 ERA) and Jerome Williams (2-1, 4.08 ERA) get the ball. The Braves won the last game 9-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May. 6 and will air on CSN-PHI and SPSO.
In his last start, Foltynewicz pitched 5.0 innings, allowing two runs (one unearned), striking out two and walking three in a 4-3 victory over the Reds. Kelly Johnson (.266, 11 Rs, 6 HRs, 17 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run, one home run, and four RBIs. In his career against the Braves, Williams is 2-3 with a 5.09 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, and 25 strikeouts.
Atlanta, a -124 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Philadelphia. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is seven runs. When playing as the favorite, the Braves have a 3-4 record and overall money line at -36. They have disappointing records of 3-4 as the favorite and 8-11 SU within their division. The Braves typically don’t swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.3 walks per game. Atlanta’s pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 5.8 during that span, compared to its 4.6 season average.
Across the field, the Phillies have a subpar record of 9-15 when they are the underdog and are -454 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 8-12 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 7-11 record. The Phillies average just 6.8 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the NL. Philadelphia’s pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They’ve allowed an average of 4.1 runs per game against teams from the NL East, lower than their season average of 4.6.
The Phillies are 3-2 against the Braves this season. The Braves will take on a right-hander (Williams) in this game and have a 10-13 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Foltynewicz will take the mound against the Phillies, who have a 7-15 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, O/U – Under
Notes
After last game’s shutout win against the Philadelphia Phillies, the Braves now have three shutouts this season. The Phillies have been shut out in four games this season.
The Phillies are 1-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Braves are 0-1 in such matchups.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Phillies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have a 3-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 10-4. The Phillies have a 7-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 77 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 118.
Ranking 22nd, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 65 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top five at fifth with 91.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 9-7. When the Phillies hit at least one homer, they have a 3-7 record.
