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Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Matchup 09/12/18

Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves are ready to play the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. The game gets going at 3:45 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be televised on FB.

Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (+110) is the home-team underdog to Atlanta (-120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Runline odds stand at +125 for taking the Braves -1.5 runs and -145 for the Giants +1.5.

The Giants are 78-67 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 68-78 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 2.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 7.0 units (ATS). The Braves have gone 81-64 SU this year and are 74-69 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 18.4 units for moneyline bettors and 1.1 units ATS.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 61-78-6 in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 68-69-6.

Right-hander Anibal Sanchez will get the start for the visiting Braves. Sanchez is 6-5 with a 3.09 ERA and 114 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and eight strikeouts across six innings).

The Giants are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Derek Holland (7-8, 3.54 ERA), who has 152 strikeouts and 60 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Holland did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.

San Francisco’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.01, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The San Francisco offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 2.5 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .184/.218/.272 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.

The Giants’ hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is slashing .260/.326/.399 with 12 home runs, 51 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while McCutchen’s line is .255/.357/.415 with 15 homers, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.49 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.07, along with a K-per-9 of 8.96.

The Braves offense has slashed .260/.328/.426 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led Atlanta’s offense. Markakis is hitting .308/.373/.460 with 14 home runs, 88 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Freeman is slashing .305/.387/.500 with 21 homers, 84 RBIs and 89 runs scored.

The Braves have lost 3.3 units and are 17-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 1.9 units and are 47-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve cashed the under.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in five of San Francisco’s last seven games.

The Giants have dropped 11 of their last 12 games SU.

San Francisco has recorded 14.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.6 over its last five.

The Braves have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit nine over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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