in

Atlanta Falcons vs. Cleveland Browns: Free Week 10 Betting Pick

Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Falcons (-4) are heading north to face the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can watch the action on FOX.

Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

In this Sunday game, Atlanta is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Falcons are also receiving -170 moneyline odds while the Browns are +150. There should be some good live betting possibilities while the game’s taking place, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 51 points.

The opening line was 3.5 while the O/U hasn’t changed since it was initially placed at 51.

The Falcons have lost 0.8 units so far in 2018 and are 3-5 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 6-2. The Browns have lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-4.

The Falcons are 4-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Browns are 2-6-1 SU.

Cleveland enters this contest on a zero-game winning streak while Atlanta has lost each of its last zero. The Falcons are coming off a resounding 38-14 victory over Washington last week. Matt Ryan completed 26 passes for 350 yards, four scores and one interception. Tevin Coleman (88 yards on 13 rushes) and Ito Smith (60 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Julio Jones (seven receptions, 121 yards, one TD) and Calvin Ridley (six catches, 71 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

Cleveland most-recently lost a 37-21 game to Kansas City in Week 9. The defense allowed the Chiefs to pass for 375 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 139 yards and two scores. Kareem Hunt had a productive outing for Kansas City, recording 91 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 17 attempts, along with 50 yards on one catch. For Cleveland, Baker Mayfield completed 29-of-42 passes for 297 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Nick Chubb (85 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Duke Johnson Jr. (nine receptions, 78 yards, two TDs) and Jarvis Landry (six catches, 50 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Atlanta has run the ball on 37.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cleveland has a rush percentage of 41.4 percent. The Falcons have produced 92 rush yards/game and have eight touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Browns are averaging 125 rushing yards per game and have 10 total rush TDs.

The Falcons offensive scheme has averaged a stout 338 yards through the air overall and has 19 passing TDs so far. The Browns have produced 249 pass yards per contest and have 12 total pass scores.

Defensively, Atlanta has allowed 109 rush yards and 319 pass yards per game. The Cleveland defense has allowed 299.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 138.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Browns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.87 to opponents, while the Falcons have given up a 7.27 ANY/A.

Offensively, Ryan is already up to 2,306 passing yards this year, and has completed 69 percent of his 262 attempts with 18 passing scores and only three interceptions. Ryan’s got a pristine 8.58 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.12 over the last two games.

For the home team, Baker Mayfield has completed 137-of-229 passes for 1,588 yards, eight TDs and six INTs. Mayfield’s ANY/A sits at 5.39 for the year and 5.22 over his past two outings.

RELATED: Week 9 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

NFL Prediction: Atlanta Falcons vs. Cleveland Browns

SU Winner – Falcons, ATS Winner – Falcons, O/U – Under

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Cleveland defense has sacked opposing QBs 22 times this year. Atlanta has recorded 17 sacks.

Cleveland has lost three fumbles this season while Atlanta has lost two.

The Falcons offense has recorded six pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Browns have put up three such plays.

The Atlanta defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Cleveland has given up seven such plays.

The Atlanta offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Cleveland has created 10 such runs.

The Falcons defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Browns have given up eight such runs.

Cleveland has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a three-point win over Baltimore on October 7th representing the only victory over that span.

Atlanta has produced 4.4 yards per carry over its past three contests and 5.0 over its last two.

Cleveland has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.8 over its past two.

*****

Written by GMS Previews

Week 10 Free Pick: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Week 10 Free Pick: New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals