Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Odds
Chicago (+120) is coming into this one as the underdog to Baltimore (-130) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Orioles -1.5 runs (+115) and White Sox +1.5 runs (-135).
The Orioles are 15-34 SU and are 18-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.4 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 13.4 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 15-31 SU and 24-21 ATS. They’ve lost 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.5 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
White Sox games have an over/under record of 20-23-2 thus far in 2018. Baltimore has an over/under record of 21-25-2.
The right-handed Dylan Bundy will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Bundy is 2-6 with a 4.70 ERA and 63 strikeouts. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he made two starts against the White Sox in 2017, posting a 2-0 record against them with a 5.73 ERA and seven strikeouts.
The White Sox are putting the ball in the hands of righty Lucas Giolito (3-4, 6.42 ERA), who’s got 27 strikeouts and 34 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.57. Giolito did not record a start against the Orioles in 2017.
Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.51, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.2. The bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Chicago offense is putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .302/.366/.485 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox offense so far. Abreu is hitting .309/.374/.534 with eight home runs, 27 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Sanchez is hitting .286 with 48 hits, 22 RBIs and 17 runs.
For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.58 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.49, along with a K/9 of 8.33.
The Orioles offense has slashed .232/.296/.394 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .328/.405/.635 with 15 home runs, 43 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Jones is slashing .263/.282/.444 with eight homers, 24 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
Machado didn’t do as well batting against righty pitching on the road last year. Across 254 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .227/.264/.387 (compared to his overall season line of .260/.311/.473).
The Orioles have lost 13.7 units and are 11-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 9.8 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under.
Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit eight over their last 10.
Chicago has averaged 22.0 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 25.2 over its last five.
The Orioles have lost four of their last five games SU while the White Sox have won four of their last five SU.
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