The Baltimore Orioles are ready to take on their AL East nemesis New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The matchup will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the game.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Odds
Vegas has listed New York (-105) as the underdog to Baltimore (-115). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 9.5 runs and -105 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +187 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and -205 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.
The Orioles have gone 3-6 SU this year and are 3-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 2.7 units ATS. The Yankees are 5-4 SU and 4-4 ATS. They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 1.8 units ATS.
New York games have a 4-4 over/under record so far in 2018. The Orioles have an over/under record of 2-6.
The Orioles have gained 0.6 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to one that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 4.0 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to three which went under the total.
Mike Wright Jr. (0-0, 5.40 ERA) will get the nod for Baltimore. The right-handed Wright Jr. recorded 28 strikeouts over 24 innings last year with only seven walks while finishing the season 0-0 overall with a 5.76 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP.
The Bronx Bombers have tabbed lefty Jordan Montgomery (0-0, 1.80 ERA) as their starter. Montgomery struck out 144 hitters in 155 innings last year (with 51 walks). Montgomery finished the season 9-7 overall with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. He recorded five starts against Baltimore a year ago and compiled a 2-1 record with a 2.67 ERA and 30 strikeouts.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 2.74, a WHIP of 1.05 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 4.93 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 13.5 K/9. In nine divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 2.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.93.
The New York hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .235/.350/.406 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Yankees’ offense has been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is slashing .367/.513/.900 with 11 hits, 10 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Judge’s line is .273/.415/.515 with nine hits, seven RBIs and seven runs.
Judge performed well against righties at home in 2017. Across 257 such plate appearances, he slashed .318/.424/.771 (his overall season line was .284/.422/.627).
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.94 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.66, along with a K-per-9 of 8.84.
The Orioles offense has not warmed up yet, slashing only .193/.270/.336 on its way to 3.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .306/.405/.528 with 11 hits, four RBIs and four runs scored, while Alvarez (.250/.438/.583) is up to three hits, five RBIs and two runs scored.
Machado didn’t perform especially well on the road last year. Across 336 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .229/.268/.398 (his overall season line was .260/.311/.473).
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Yankees went 12-7 SU against the Orioles last season.
The Yankees’ bullpen managed 4.04 ERA against the Orioles last year.
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