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Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick 09/05/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners are playing host to the Baltimore Orioles at Safeco Field. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Baltimore (+200) is entering this game as the underdog to Seattle (-220) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -110 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and -110 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Orioles have gone 41-98 SU this year and are 57-81 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 49.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 35.9 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 77-62 SU and 67-71 ATS. They’ve gained 13.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 10.9 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Seattle games have a 68-68-2 over/under record in 2018. The Orioles have been a decent under bet with a total record of 60-73-5.

Andrew Cashner will get the start for Baltimore. The right-handed Cashner (4-13, 4.86 ERA) has racked up 98 punchouts in 146.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners will be sending righty Mike Leake (8-9, 4.25 ERA) to the mound. Leake has 105 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Leake is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.36 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.04 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

Seattle’s hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .241/.306/.376 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Mitch Haniger have led the Mariners’ hitters this year. Segura is slashing .315/.346/.432 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 20 stolen bases, and Haniger is batting .279 with 23 homers, 84 RBIs and 73 runs.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.38 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.12 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.78, along with a WHIP of 1.48.

Orioles hitters have slashed .239/.301/.396 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini, who’ve collectively launched 35 home runs. Jones is hitting .282/.314/.425 with 14 home runs, 55 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Mancini (.245/.304/.419) is up to 21 homers, 51 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 41.7 units and are 36-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 16.3 units and are 45-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in three of Baltimore’s last seven games.

The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit eight over their last 10.

Baltimore has averaged 23.8 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 19.0 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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