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Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick 08/02/18

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles are making a road trip to Globe Life Park to take on the Texas Rangers. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing this AL showdown and the game gets underway at 8:05 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Texas (-145) as the favorite over Baltimore (+135). The total is sitting at 11 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -160 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +140 for the Rangers -1.5.

The Orioles have gone 31-74 SU this year and are 45-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 38.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Rangers, on the other hand, are 44-62 SU and 53-56 ATS. The team’s lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors and 7.1 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Texas games have had an over/under record of 50-52-7 in 2018. The Orioles have been a good under bet with a total record of 45-58-4.

Andrew Cashner will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Cashner is 3-9 with a 4.33 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rangers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Rangers are putting the ball in the right hand of Yovani Gallardo (5-1, 6.26 ERA, 1.56 WHIP), who has 26 strikeouts and 21 walks. Gallardo only made one start against the Orioles in 2017 (0-1, 18.00 ERA and four strikeouts across four innings).

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.23 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.48 and a K/9 of 8.09.

Orioles hitters have slashed .233/.297/.389 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Baltimore’s offense has been powered by shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones, who have combined to blast 35 home runs. Machado is hitting .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Jones has a .281 average with 11 homers, 43 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Texas’ pitching staff has yielded 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 5.29 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Texas offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 6.3 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .295/.353/.537 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shin-soo Choo and Nomar Mazara have led the Rangers’ hitters this year. Choo is hitting .281/.395/.482 with 18 home runs, 47 RBIs and 59 runs scored, while Mazara’s line is .272/.332/.450 with 15 homers, 58 RBIs and 46 runs.

The Orioles have lost 33.1 units and are 27-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost 5.7 units and are 36-39 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 40 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rangers, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in five of Baltimore’s last seven contests.

Baltimore has posted 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 31.4 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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