Back to even on the year. My last two college football teasers have been losers, and now I’m trying to avoid a reverse turkey after winning three in a row earlier in the year. Last week, the Navy Midshipmen let me down as the triple option didn’t have much success against Air Force. They managed to run for just 129 yards on the day, and Navy isn’t going to win many games with rushing totals like that. I’m still up with my college football betting on the year, thanks in large part to my FCS plays, but the gap is narrowing.
Week 1 Teaser: Loser
Week 2 Teaser: Winner
Week 3 Teaser: Winner
Week 4 Teaser: Winner
Week 5 Teaser: Loser
Week 6 Teaser: Loser
College Football Best Teaser Pick (Courtesy of BetDSI)
6-point teaser option at -110 betting odds
Oklahoma State -1 at Kansas State
West Virginia -0.5 at Iowa State
For the first time all season, I’m sticking to the same conference for both legs of my teaser. Oklahoma State has not gotten off to a great start in Big 12 play. The Cowboys are sitting at 1-2 in conference, and that lone win came against Kansas.
It may seem like Oklahoma State has had a down year without Mason Rudolph and James Washington at first glance, but the offense really hasn’t fallen off in their absence. They are sitting at 14th in the country in total offense per S&P+, so the offense has not been the issue.
The defense has had some bad performances though. Oklahoma State gave up 41 points in its loss to Texas Tech and 48 points in a loss to Iowa State, and the latter performance was particularly head-scratching as the Cyclones were on their third-string quarterback.
I don’t see Oklahoma State’s defense having many issues stopping Kansas State though. This isn’t your father’s Wildcats team. Kansas State has looked really inept on offense this season, and it really can’t move the ball through the air. I have faith in Oklahoma State’s ability to stop a one-dimensional team.
To be honest, I have the most faith in the second leg of my teaser. I’m a big believer in West Virginia this season. The Mountaineers have one of the best quarterbacks in the country in Will Grier, and he is looking to atone for last week’s performance. He was able to move the ball effectively on Kansas’ defense, but he tossed three interceptions in the red zone and that made it a game into the fourth quarter.
The advanced metrics love West Virginia too. The Mountaineers are ranked No. 11 in the nation in terms of S&P+, and the defense has been above average. That was one of the big concerns coming into the season, and WVU has answered the bell there. They are incredibly talented at the skill positions, and Iowa State will have a hard time matching up.
I like this Iowa State team. Matt Campbell has proved to be a great hire, and he has the Cyclones competitive in most games. They are going to be outclassed here though. There is now film on third-string quarterback Brock Purdy, and even if Kyle Kempt came back, he is likely to still be somewhat limited. This team doesn’t have the guns to take down the Mountaineers.
