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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 07/25/18

Patrick McDermott-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox will be squaring off against their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park. The action will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to New England Sports Network to catch the game.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-175) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). The game’s runline odds sit at -120 for picking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and +100 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Orioles are 29-73 straight up (SU) and 40-61 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 41.0 units for moneyline bettors and 28.8 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox are 71-32 SU and have gone 62-40 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 25.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 21.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Orioles games have a 40-57-4 over/under record in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 48-51-3.

David Price is getting the start for Boston. The left-handed Price (11-6, 4.17 ERA) has racked up 114 punchouts in 114.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 2.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of righty Dylan Bundy (6-9, 4.57 ERA), who has 116 strikeouts and 35 walks, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Bundy is 0-2 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.29 ERA over three starts against Boston this year.

Baltimore’s pitchers have yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.30, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 41 games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 6.02 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.88.

Baltimore’s offense has produced 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .260/.312/.457 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Orioles’ hitters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is slashing .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs, 48 runs and eight stolen bases, while the line for Jones stands at .277/.304/.422 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 39 runs.

For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.71 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.39, along with a K/9 of 9.67.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .270/.339/.459 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Boston’s hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who collectively have swatted 55 home runs. Martinez is slashing .323/.387/.644 with 31 home runs, 85 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Betts (.351/.437/.668) has produced 24 homers, 52 RBIs, 81 runs and 18 steals.

The Red Sox have gained 24.7 units and are 48-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 6.4 units and are 17-18 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Boston has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has 18 XBH over its last five.

Boston has posted 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.

The Red Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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