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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free Pick 07/01/18

Peter G. Aiken/USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will play host to their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium. The action is going to be televised across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 8:08 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Odds

New York (-200) is favored over Boston (+185) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-120) and Yankees -1.5 runs (+100).

The Yankees are 53-27 straight up (SU) and 43-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven. The Red Sox are 56-28 SU and have gone 47-36 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 13.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.9 units ATS. Boston’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 33-43-3 so far in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 42 times, gone over 38 times and pushed on three occasions.

David Price will get the nod for the visiting Red Sox. The southpaw Price (9-5, 3.66 ERA) has racked up 89 strikeouts in 93.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with a 36.00 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees will turn to righty Luis Severino (12-2, 2.10 ERA) to the mound. Severino has 132 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 0.96 WHIP. Severino is 0-1 with 17 strikeouts and a 5.73 ERA across two starts against Boston this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.85 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.76, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 12.0. In 33 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.02.

The New York offense has produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .213/.284/.381 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have led the Yankees’ hitters this year. Stanton is slashing .263/.338/.503 with 19 home runs, 46 RBIs and 47 runs scored, while Judge is hitting .272 with 21 homers, 54 RBIs and 54 runs.

In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.71 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.60 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.13, along with a K/9 of 9.64.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .267/.334/.459 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Martinez is slashing .327/.392/.641 with 25 home runs, 67 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Benintendi is hitting .285/.369/.508 with 13 homers, 53 RBIs, 56 runs and 15 steals.

The Red Sox have gained 14.4 units and are 36-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, as opposed to 30 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 10.7 units and are 12-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to 15 which went under the total.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Boston has recorded 27 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 12 XBH over its last five.

The Red Sox have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.

Boston has averaged 28.5 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 29.2 over its last five.

The Red Sox have won five of their last six games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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