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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview 06/11/18

Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

The struggling Baltimore Orioles are trying to avoid losing their fifth in a row when they play host to the Boston Red Sox at Camden Yards. The matchup will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be showing the game.

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Vegas has listed Boston (-115) as the favorite over Baltimore (+105). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 9.5 runs and -115 for under 9.5. Runline odds sit at +130 for betting the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -150 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Red Sox are 44-22 SU and have gone 36-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units ATS. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 19-45 SU and 24-39 ATS. They’ve lost 24.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.9 units ATS.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 25-36-2 so far in 2018. Boston has an over/under record of 31-32-2.

Steven Wright will get the start for the BoSox. The right-handed Wright is 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Baltimore this year (two starts).

The Orioles will send righty Dylan Bundy (4-7, 4.04 ERA) to the mound. Bundy has 88 punchouts and 23 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Bundy is 0-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA across two starts against Boston this year.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.36, a WHIP of 1.54 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 29 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 6.05 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.74.

The Baltimore offense has produced 3.6 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .192/.278/.305 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by Manny Machado, who is slashing .312/.380/.591 with 18 home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.70 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.06, along with a K/9 of 9.74.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .264/.331/.461 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Boston’s offense has been led by J.D. Martinez. Martinez is hitting .316/.376/.654 with 21 home runs, 54 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

The Orioles are coming off of a 13-3 loss against the Blue Jays, while the Red Sox just lost a 5-2 game to the White Sox.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in five of Boston’s last seven games.

The Red Sox have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 10 over their last 10.

Boston fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to zero errors for Baltimore over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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