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Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick 09/21/18

Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox are making a road trip to Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Indians. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will showcase this AL matchup.

Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog to Boston (-125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at eight runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Runline odds stand at +120 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -140 for the Indians +1.5.

The Red Sox have gone 104-49 SU this year and are 88-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 34.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.0 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 85-67 SU and 72-79 ATS. They’ve lost 20.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 17.5 units ATS.

Cleveland games have a 72-70-9 over/under record in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 75 times, gone over 69 times and pushed on eight instances.

Chris Sale is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. The left-handed Sale is 12-4 with a 1.92 ERA and 222 strikeouts. He has yet to face Cleveland this year, but he did make two starts against the Indians in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record against them with a 14.63 ERA and eight strikeouts.

The Indians are preparing to start righty Trevor Bauer (12-6, 2.22 ERA), who has 214 strikeouts and 56 walks to his name, as well as a 1.09 WHIP. Bauer made two starts against the Red Sox in 2017, putting together a spotless 2-0 record with a 5.25 ERA.

Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.75 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.58, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.56.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .267/.339/.450 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts continue to lead Boston’s offense. Martinez is hitting .331/.400/.629 with 41 home runs, 124 RBIs and 106 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .339 with 30 homers, 77 RBIs, 121 runs and 28 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.45, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

Cleveland’s hitters have put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .273/.387/.465 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley have led the Indians’ batters this year. Lindor is slashing .282/.355/.528 with 36 home runs, 87 RBIs, 123 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Brantley’s line sits at .306/.361/.473 with 17 homers, 74 RBIs and 84 runs.

The Red Sox have gained 33.2 units and are 69-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 8.6 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve gone under.

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in only one of Boston’s last seven games.

Cleveland has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.2 over its last five.

The Red Sox have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 14 over their last 10.

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