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Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Free Preview 07/20/18

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers are set to do battle against the Boston Red Sox at Comerica Park. This AL matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising the game.

Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Boston (-200) as the favorite over Detroit (+185). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over nine runs and -105 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Red Sox -1.5 runs (-140) and Tigers +1.5 runs (+120).

The Tigers are 51-47 against the spread (ATS), but only 41-57 straight up (SU). The team has lost 0.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Red Sox have gone 68-30 SU this year and are 60-38 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 24.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 22.3 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Detroit games have an over/under record of 39-56-3 so far in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under 48 times, gone over 47 times and pushed on three instances.

Left-hander David Price is the probable starter for the visiting Red Sox. Price is 10-6 with a 4.42 ERA and 109 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Tigers are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Matthew Boyd (4-8, 4.76 ERA), who has 87 punchouts and 36 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.21. Boyd is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA in one start against Boston this year.

As a unit, Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.42 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Detroit hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .174/.222/.298 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Tigers’ offense has been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .305/.359/.517 with 15 home runs, 56 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .266 with 85 hits, 34 RBIs, 29 runs and 12 steals.

For the visiting squad, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.27, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .272/.341/.462 on their way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 7.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led Boston’s hitters. Martinez is slashing .328/.393/.644 with 29 home runs, 80 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Betts is slashing .359/.448/.691 with 23 homers, 51 RBIs, 79 runs and 18 stolen bases.

The Red Sox have lost 0.9 units and are 13-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 8.8 units and are 16-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.

Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in four of Detroit’s last seven games.

The Red Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit nine over their last 10.

Boston has averaged 30.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 24.8 over its last five.

The Red Sox have won 12 of their last 13 games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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