The Boston Red Sox will be taking on the Houston Astros in Game 3 of the ALCS. The series is currently tied 1-1, and the matchup will be televised on TBS. The first pitch is scheduled for 5:09 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Odds
Boston (+120) is coming into this one as the underdog against Houston (-130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-175) and Astros -1.5 runs (+155).
Factoring in the regular season, the Red Sox are 112-56 SU and are 97-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 34.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 23.2 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 107-60 SU and 87-80 ATS. They’ve gained 0.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.6 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Houston games have a 74-85-8 over/under record in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 81-79-8.
The right-handed Nathan Eovaldi is the probable starter for Boston. Eovaldi is 6-7 with a 3.81 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Houston this year.
The Astros are handing the ball to lefty Dallas Keuchel (12-11, 3.74 ERA), who’s got 153 punchouts and 58 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Keuchel is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA in one start against Boston this year.
Behind a team slash line of .250/.338/.373, the Red Sox have scored 6.0 runs per game through six postseason outings. The Astros are hitting .274/.399/.530 and the team has managed 6.6 runs during this year’s playoffs.
The Astros bullpen (8.5 K/9) has registered a postseason ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 0.89, while Red Sox relievers (11.0 K/9) have fared noticeably worse with a 4.10 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
Boston’s offensive production has been sparked by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who collectively have blasted 76 home runs. Martinez is hitting .327/.399/.620 with 44 home runs, 136 RBIs and 112 runs scored. Betts is hitting .342/.435/.629 with 32 homers, 83 RBIs, 134 runs and 30 steals.
Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve have led the Astros’ offense this year. Bregman is slashing .289/.405/.541 with 33 home runs, 107 RBIs and 112 runs scored, and Altuve’s line is .313/.382/.450 with 14 homers, 64 RBIs, 89 runs and 17 steals.
The Red Sox are coming off of a 7-5 win in Game .
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Boston has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Houston has 21 XBH over its last five.
The Red Sox have won three of their last four games SU.
Houston has posted 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 17 over their last 10.
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