The Boston Red Sox will head south to square off against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. New England Sports Network is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas has listed Miami (-115) as the favorite over Boston (-105). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. Runline odds sit at -150 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and +140 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Red Sox are 3-1 SU and have gone 0-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline this year, despite having lost 3.1 units ATS. The Marlins are 2-2 SU and 1-2 ATS. The team has lost 0.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units ATS.
Marlins games have a two-1 over/under record in 2018. Red Sox games have gone under two times, gone over once and pushed on zero occasions.
The Red Sox have lost 0.7 units and are 0-2 ATS when facing a y starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.0 units and are 0-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in one of those games, compared to zero that went under the total.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.43 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 2.55 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.
Miami’s offense has put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.5 per game over its last five. The team’s slashed .236/.342/.304 over its last five matchups and is 2-2 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder Derek Dietrich and shortstop Miguel Rojas have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Dietrich is hitting .316/.409/.579 with six hits, three RBIs and three runs scored, and Rojas has put up a line of .333/.444/.467 with five hits and one RBI.
Dietrich enjoyed hitting against lefties at home last year. Over 46 such plate appearances, he slashed .341/.413/.463 (his overall season line was .249/.334/.424).
For the visitors, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 2.3 runs per game and its starters own a 0.75 ERA, 0.88 WHIP and 8.63 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.73, along with a WHIP of 0.88 and a K-per-9 of 10.64.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .214/.304/.336 on its way to 2.5 runs scored per game this season, including 2.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.5 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-1 SU).
Shortstop Bogaerts Bogaerts and outfielder Mookie Betts have led Boston’s hitters. Bogaerts is hitting .471/.471/.941 with eight hits, two RBIs and four runs scored, while Betts is hitting .286/.444/.357 with four hits and zero RBI.
Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Marlins went 0-0 SU against the Red Sox last season.
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