Tuesday, July 17, 2018
Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 04/26/18

The Toronto Blue Jays will do battle against the Boston Red Sox at Rogers Centre. The matchup will begin at 7:07 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network is in line to showcase the game.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Toronto (+165) is the underdog against Boston (-175) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -125 for the under and +105 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Red Sox -1.5 runs (-120) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (+100).

The Red Sox are 18-5 SU and are 13-9 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 11.1 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 4.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays are 14-9 SU and 12-10 ATS. The team’s gained 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Toronto games have an over/under record of 9-11-2 so far in 2018. Red Sox games have gone over 12 times, gone under nine times and pushed on one occasion.

Chris Sale will get the nod for the Sox. The left-handed Sale is 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 41 strikeouts. He has yet to face Toronto this year, but he made four starts against them in 2017, compiling a 2-1 record with a 1.67 ERA and 43 strikeouts.

The Blue Jays will turn to righty Marco Estrada (2-1, 5.32 ERA), who has 18 strikeouts and eight walks as well as a WHIP of 1.36. Estrada made four starts against Boston in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 4.12 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.92, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.43, a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 8.9.

Toronto’s offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .170/.263/.297 over its last five and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Curtis Granderson and Yangervis Solarte have paced the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Granderson is hitting .321/.424/.571 with three home runs, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Solarte is hitting .237 with six homers, 11 RBIs and 14 runs.

Granderson didn’t do very well against lefties at home in 2017, slashing .149/.212/.234 across 52 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .212/.323/.450).

In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 2.9 runs per game and its starters own a 2.59 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 9.61 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.29, along with a K-per-9 of 9.42.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .271/.344/.455 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Mookie Betts and Hanley Ramirez have led Boston’s offense. Betts is slashing .350/.442/.750 with eight home runs, 17 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Ramirez is hitting .316/.375/.481 with three homers, 16 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Red Sox have gained 11.6 units and are 11-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 1.6 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to three which went under.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Red Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 11 over their last 10.

Toronto has recorded 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.6 over its last five.

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Summary
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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays
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