The Orlando Magic (22-51) clash with the Brooklyn Nets (23-51) at Amway Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 28, 2018, and will air on YES Network.
Brooklyn opened as a 2-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216 points.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Orlando Magic ATS Prediction
The Nets are hoping for a better outcome after their 121-114 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Cleveland’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Brooklyn. The Cavaliers had a rate of 26.2 (above their season average of 19.8), while the Nets posted a mark of 15.6 (below their season average of 21.7). Joe Harris led Brooklyn in scoring with 30 points on 11-for-14 shooting.
The last time the Magic played, they defeated the Phoenix Suns, 105-99. The Magic, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.9, had a great mark of 31.1 and held the Suns to an effective field goal percentage of 0.444 (below the 0.529 mark opponents have averaged against Orlando this season). Aaron Gordon was the top scorer from either team with 29 points on 10-for-18 shooting.
Brooklyn has a solid record against the spread (41-32-1), despite being 23-51 straight up (SU). Games including the Nets have a slight tendency to go under the projected point total (52.7 percent).
Meanwhile, Orlando owns records of 22-51 SU and 33-38-2 ATS. Games featuring the Magic have typically finished under the O/U total (57.5 percent).
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson has averaged 18.2 points, 7.8 rebounds and 1.4 steals over the last five games for Brooklyn.
The Nets have won two out of three against the Magic this season, including a narrow three-point victory the last time these teams met. Brooklyn covered as a 1-point favorite and the game finished with a total of 193 points, which was 26 points below the projected point total of 219 points. Brooklyn had a better effective field goal percentage (0.494 vs. 0.396). Orlando, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.1 vs. 23.3). In the loss, Bismack Biyombo had a double-double with 13 points and 17 rebounds.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Orlando Magic Betting Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Brooklyn is 24-13 ATS with 19 overs and 18 unders.
At home, Orlando is 14-21-1 ATS with 22 unders and 14 overs.
In games where they allow below 100 points, Brooklyn is 12-1 and Orlando is 10-7.
The Magic are 22-28 when they score over 100 points, while the Nets are 19-35.
Brooklyn ranks seventh in rebounds per game (44.6) while Orlando ranks 26th (41.2).
The Magic rank 13th in blocks per game (4.8) while the Nets rank 27th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
Brooklyn ranks 13th in second chance points per game (12.9) while Orlando ranks 27th (10.6).
The Magic rank 16th in steals per game (7.7) while the Nets rank 29th (6.1).
Brooklyn ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (35.1) while Orlando ranks 14th (29.2).
The Nets rank 18th in points in the paint per game (43.8) while the Magic rank last in points allowed in the paint per game (48.9).
Brooklyn averages 23.2 assists per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Orlando ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (24.3).
The Magic rank 21st in points off turnovers per game (15.7) while the Nets rank 29th (14.1).
Brooklyn averages 10.5 fast break points per game, which ranks 19th in the league. Orlando ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (12.8).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Orlando is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 4.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 99.6 points per game (4.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.8 points per game (5.3 below their season average).
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