The Atlanta Hawks (3-16) will attempt to snap their 10-game losing streak when they meet the Charlotte Hornets (9-9) at State Farm Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 230.5 points with Charlotte opening as an 8-point favorite.
Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks Betting Prediction
The last time the Hornets played, they were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 109-104, but they were able to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (213) came in well under the projected point total of 230. Oklahoma City’s 0.172 free throw rate was their largest strength over Charlotte, who had a mark of 0.128. The Thunder’s mark was below their season average of 0.193, while the Hornets’ was below their season average of 0.198. Kemba Walker was Charlotte’s high scorer with 25 points on 10-for-23 shooting.
The Hawks lost big to the Boston Celtics in their last outing, 114-96. They were not able to cover as 8-point underdogs. The total points for the game (210) came in under the projected point total of 223.5. Boston’s 16.7 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Atlanta, who had a mark of 12.2. The Celtics’ mark was below their season average of 21.7, while the Hawks’ was below their season average of 20.8. With 19 points on 6-for-10 shooting, Jeremy Lin was the top scorer from either team.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Walker scored a game-high 29 points and the Hornets beat the Hawks 113-102 but were unable to cover as 11.5-point favorites. He also put up 7 assists. The game finished with a total of 215 points, which was 17.5 points below the projected point total of 232.5 points. The Hornets had a better offensive rebounding percentage (21.1 vs. 16.7) and had a better turnover percentage (17.4 vs. 19.1).
Charlotte holds records of 9-9 straight up (SU) and 12-6 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been spot on when setting the total of Hornets games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Atlanta is 3-16 SU and 7-12 ATS. Of the Hawks’ 19 games, 10 have finished over the projected point total.
Jeremy Lamb has averaged 18 points,7.0 rebounds,1.2 steals over the last five games for Charlotte.
Conflicting paces will be on display in this contest. Atlanta has preferred a fast-paced style of play (first in possessions per game), while Charlotte has been more methodical (13th in possessions per game). Also, the Hornets’ fifth-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 110.6) will square off against the Hawks’ 25th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 109.4).
Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Charlotte is 6-3 ATS on the road with 6 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Atlanta is 2-7 ATS with 5 overs and 4 unders.
In contests where they allow less than 100 points, Charlotte is 2-0 and Atlanta is 0-2.
The Hawks are 3-11 when they reach the century mark, while the Hornets are 9-8.
Charlotte ranks fourth in points off turnovers per game (20.0) while Atlanta ranks 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (22.9).
The Hornets rank fourth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Hawks rank 25th (9.6).
Charlotte ranks ninth in assists per game (24.7) while Atlanta ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.5).
The Hawks average 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Hornets rank 27th in blocks allowed per game (6.6).
Charlotte ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (34.4) while Atlanta ranks 26th in three pointers allowed per game (33.8).
The Hornets average 14.61111111111111 second chance points per game, which ranks 9 in the NBA. The Hawks rank 28 in second chance points allowed per game (17.36842105263158).
Charlotte ranks 13 in fast break points allowed per game (13.722222222222221) while Atlanta ranks 28 (16.57894736842105).
The Hornets rank 18 in rebounds allowed per game (45.77777777777778) while the Hawks rank 28 (48.89473684210526).
Atlanta ranks 10 in points in the paint per game (48.73684210526316) while Charlotte ranks 19 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.44444444444444).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Charlotte is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Hornets have been outscored by an average of 1.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Charlotte has defeated opponents by an average of 4.8 points.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 101.0 points per game (5.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 120.0 points per game (1.7 above their season average).
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