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Charlotte Hornets at Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview 11/13/18

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Cavaliers (1-11) will try to put an end to their five-game losing streak when they take on the Charlotte Hornets (7-6) at Quicken Loans Arena. The game can be seen on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 13, 2018.

The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 219 points with Charlotte set as a 7-point favorite.

Charlotte Hornets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Prediction

In the Hornets’ last matchup, they beat the Detroit Pistons, 113-103, as 2.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (216) came in under the O/U total of 221. Charlotte’s 0.571 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Detroit, who had a mark of 0.423. The Hornets’ mark was above their season average of 0.531, while the Pistons’ was below their season average of 0.488. Charlotte rallied around Kemba Walker, who put up 24 points and eight assists.

The Cavaliers lost a close one to the Chicago Bulls in their last contest, 99-98, but did cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (197) were well under the O/U total of 212.5. Chicago’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Cleveland. The Bulls had a rate of 0.171 (below their season average of 0.194), while the Cavaliers posted a mark of 0.132 (below their season average of 0.202). With 22 points on 10-for-14 shooting, Tristan Thompson led Cleveland in scoring.

This is the second game of the season between these two teams. J.R. Smith put up 14 points in the first matchup, in which the Cavaliers lost 126-94, unable to cover as 10-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 220 points, which was just 1.5 points below the projected point total of 221.5 points. Charlotte out-rebounded Cleveland. The Hornets had more offensive rebounds (12 vs. three), defensive rebounds (38 vs. 23) and total rebounds (50 vs. 26).

Charlotte comes into the game with records of 7-6 straight up (SU) and 9-4 against the spread (ATS). Of the Hornets’ 13 games, seven have finished under the total.

Meanwhile, Cleveland is 1-11 SU and 6-6 ATS. Vegas tends to place the total high when the Cavaliers are involved, as seven of their 13 games have ended under the O/U total.

Jeremy Lamb has averaged 13.8 points and 1.4 steals over the last five games for Charlotte.

Cleveland figures to have an advantage on the offensive glass in this showdown. The Cavaliers rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (27.0 percent), while Charlotte ranks 18th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.6 percent). Furthermore, the fifth-ranked offense of the Hornets (offensive efficiency of 112.2) will try to exploit the 27th-ranked defense of the Cavaliers (defensive efficiency of 112.6).

Charlotte Hornets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Charlotte is 5-2 ATS on the road with 4 unders and 3 overs.

Cleveland is 1-5 ATS at home with 3 overs and 3 unders.

In games where they allow under 100 points, Charlotte is 2-0 and Cleveland is 0-2.

When scoring more than 100 points, the Hornets are 7-6 and the Cavaliers are 1-6.

Charlotte ranks second in blocks per game (6.5) while Cleveland ranks 27th (2.3).

The Hornets rank eighth in three pointers attempted per game (34.3) while the Cavaliers rank last (23.3).

Charlotte ranks seventh in assists per game (25.2) while Cleveland ranks 28th (19.8).

The Hornets rank fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.2) while the Cavaliers rank 23rd (19.0).

Charlotte averages 48.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Cleveland ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.0).

The Cavaliers rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (41.5) while the Hornets rank 13th (45.1).

Cleveland ranks eighth in second chance points per game (14.8) while Charlotte ranks 16th in second chance points allowed per game (13.5).

The Hornets average 12.3 fast break points per game, which ranks 18th in the NBA. The Cavaliers rank 19th in fast break points allowed per game (15.3).

Bettings Trends:

In its last five outings, Charlotte is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

Cleveland is 2-3 ATS with 5 unders over its last five games.

The Hornets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.6, up from 7.4 for the season.

During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 93.8 points per game (9.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (6.7 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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