The New York Knicks (3-7) clash against the Chicago Bulls (2-8) at Madison Square Garden. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 5, 2018, and will air on WGN Channel 9.
New York is a 3-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 216 points.
Chicago Bulls vs. New York Knicks Free Prediction
Although the Bulls were beaten by the Houston Rockets in their last contest, 96-88, they were able to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (184) came in well under the O/U total of 223. Houston’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Rockets had 10 offensive rebounds and 45 total rebounds, while the Bulls had four and 37, respectively. Wendell Carter Jr. played well for Chicago, putting up 14 points and 13 rebounds.
In the Knicks’ previous game, they were beaten by the Washington Wizards, 108-95. They failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (203) finished under the O/U total of 216. One of Washington’s biggest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They made 39 trips to the line, while New York went just 16 times. Enes Kanter had a solid game for New York, leading the team in scoring with 18 points on 8-for-14 shooting.
After the Bulls won three out of four matchups against the Knicks last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, New York won 110-92. New York’s 0.505 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Chicago, who had a mark of 0.375.
Chicago has a phenomenal record against the spread (6-4), despite being 2-8 straight up (SU). Of the Bulls’ 10 games, six have gone under the total.
Although New York struggles winning games outright (3-7 SU), they have an outstanding 6-2-1 record ATS. Coinciding with Chicago, games involving the Knicks also have a tendency to go under the O/U total (55.6 percent).
Carter Jr. has averaged 14.2 points, 7.4 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 1.8 blocks and 1.2 steals over the last five games for Chicago.
Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the league’s top rebounding teams battle. The Knicks rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.9 percent), while Chicago ranks fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (74.2 percent).
Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks Free Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Knicks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Chicago is 1-3 ATS with 2 overs and 2 unders.
At home, New York is 3-1-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Chicago is 1-1 when they allow under 100 points, while New York is 1-0.
The Bulls are 1-7 when they score above 100 points, while the Knicks are 3-5.
New York ranks seventh in second chance points per game (15.0) while Chicago ranks 28th (9.4).
The Knicks rank seventh in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while the Bulls rank 26th (14.0).
New York ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (22.8) while Chicago ranks 26th (24.9).
The Knicks rank 14th in three pointers allowed per game (30.6) while the Bulls rank 27th (36.9).
Chicago ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (6.8) while New York ranks 26th (6.0).
The Knicks rank 18th in points in the paint per game (44.8) while the Bulls rank 26th (44.4).
Chicago ranks 20th in fast break points per game (12.3) while New York ranks 28th (9.3).
The Bulls rank 15th in rebounds per game (41.2) while the Knicks rank 17th in rebounds allowed per game (45.2).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, Chicago is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
New York is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Bulls’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.8, down from 7.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 105.8 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.0 points per game (0.6 below their season average).
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