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Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview 09/18/18

Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs will face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. WGN will broadcast this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

The Cubs have gone 88-62 SU this year and are 73-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 2.4 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 3.0 units ATS. Chicago’s covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the under has hit in all seven of them. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 78-73 SU and 75-75 ATS. They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.6 units ATS. Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 68-76-6 in 2018. The Cubs have also been a strong under bet with a total record of 65-81-3.

Mike Montgomery is getting the nod for the visiting Cubs. The southpaw Montgomery is 4-5 with a 3.87 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the hands of righty Matt Andriese (3-5, 4.76 ERA), who’s got 74 strikeouts and 23 walks, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Andriese did not record a start against the Cubs in 2017.

Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.78, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.59 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Arizona hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .194/.246/.388 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is hitting .299/.400/.553 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 94 runs scored, and Peralta’s line is .296/.353/.519 with 28 homers, 82 RBIs and 73 runs.

For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.85 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.30, along with a WHIP of 1.34.

Cubs hitters have slashed .260/.337/.414 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo continue to lead Chicago’s offense. Baez is slashing .294/.328/.566 with 32 home runs, 105 RBIs, 94 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rizzo (.277/.373/.467) has produced 24 homers, 93 RBIs and 67 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 0.3 units and are 57-60 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 64 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 1.4 units and are 25-27 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 27 that went under.

Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in seven of Chicago’s last seven games.

The Cubs have won four of their last five games SU while the Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six.

Chicago has recorded 15.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.

The Cubs have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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