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Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers Betting Preview 08/21/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs will pay a visit to Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers. NBC Sports Chicago will showcase this interleague matchup. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Vegas has listed Detroit (+165) as the underdog to Chicago (-175). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Cubs -1.5 runs (-120) and Tigers +1.5 runs (+100).

The Tigers are 65-60 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 51-74 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 6.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.1 units (ATS). The Cubs have gone 71-52 SU this year and are 61-62 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 0.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 1.6 units ATS.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 50-69-6 in 2018. The Cubs have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 54-66-3.

Kyle Hendricks will get the nod for the visiting Cubs. The right-handed Hendricks is 9-9 with a 4.11 ERA and 123 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jordan Zimmermann (5-5, 4.36 ERA), who has 78 strikeouts and 16 walks, as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Zimmermann hasn’t faced the Cubs yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.22, along with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K-per-9 of 8.80.

The Cubs offense has slashed .262/.343/.417 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 2.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo, who collectively have swatted 43 home runs. Baez is hitting .289/.320/.562 with 25 home runs, 89 RBIs, 74 runs and 20 stolen bases. Rizzo (.265/.363/.440) is up to 18 homers, 78 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Detroit offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .247/.350/.412 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Tigers’ offense has been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .290/.343/.490 with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 68 runs scored, and the line for Iglesias stands at .265/.309/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 40 runs and 14 stolen bases.

The Cubs have lost 4.8 units and are 46-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 12.6 units and are 45-48 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 54 that went under the total.

Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in six of Chicago’s last seven games.

Detroit has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.

The Cubs have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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