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Chicago Cubs at New York Mets Free Pick 05/31/18

The New York Mets will play host to the Chicago Cubs at Citi Field. This NL matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will televise the game.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Odds

Chicago (-150) is the favorite over New York (+140) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -105 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -115 for the Mets +1.5.

Coaches, College Football

The Cubs have gone 29-23 SU this year and are 24-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.1 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 27-26 SU and 25-26 ATS. They’ve lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 1.0 unit ATS.

Mets games have an over/under record of 23-27-1 so far in 2018. Cubs games have gone under 28 times, gone over 22 times and pushed on one occasion.

The left-handed Jose Quintana is projected to start for the visiting Cubs. Quintana is 5-4 with a 4.78 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and seven strikeouts over seven innings).

The Mets are handing the ball to righty Seth Lugo (1-1, 2.48 ERA), who has 34 strikeouts and nine walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.01. Lugo only made one start against the Cubs in 2017 (0-1, 21.00 ERA and four strikeouts across three innings).

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.08, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

New York’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .287/.359/.478 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Asdrubal Cabrera has helped lead the Mets’ offense this year with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored. Cabrera didn’t do as well batting against lefties at home last season. Across 59 such plate appearances, he slashed .268/.288/.286 (his total season line was .280/.351/.434).

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.80 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.67, along with a K-per-9 of 9.08.

Cubs hitters have slashed .262/.346/.435 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s offense has been spearheaded by Javier Baez. Baez is hitting .271/.301/.563 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs, 32 runs and seven steals.

The Mets are coming off of a 4-1 win against the Braves, while the Cubs just dropped a 2-1 game to the Pirates.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in four of New York’s last seven games.

The Cubs have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

Chicago fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for New York over its last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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