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Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Preview 08/22/18

Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs will be taking on the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. This interleague matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to WGN to catch the game.

Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers Odds

Chicago (-185) is entering this one as the favorite over Detroit (+175) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -130 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and +110 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Tigers are 65-60 against the spread (ATS), but only 52-74 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 6.5 units for moneyline bettors and 5.1 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Cubs are 71-53 SU and have gone 61-62 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 1.6 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 50-69-6 in 2018. Chicago has also been a good under bet with a total record of 54-66-3.

Jon Lester is getting the start for Chicago. The southpaw Lester is 13-5 with a 3.72 ERA and 113 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Tigers are sending lefty Francisco Liriano (3-8, 4.72 ERA) to the mound. Liriano has 77 punchouts and 58 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.51. Liriano is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.46, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 4.42 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

The Detroit offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .268/.363/.440 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ batters have been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .288/.342/.487 with 18 home runs, 70 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Iglesias has put up a line of .267/.311/.390 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 41 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.12 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.60 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.21, along with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K/9 of 8.80.

Cubs hitters have slashed .262/.342/.416 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Chicago’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo, who’ve collectively blasted 44 home runs. Baez is hitting .290/.322/.561 with 25 home runs, 89 RBIs, 74 runs and 20 steals. Rizzo (.267/.366/.449) has produced 19 homers, 79 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

The Cubs have gained 5.0 units and are 15-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 6.0 units and are 20-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Chicago Cubs vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Chicago has recorded nine extra-base hits over its last five outings. Detroit has 19 XBH over its last five.

The Chicago defense has allowed two errors over its last five games, compared to five errors for Detroit over its last five.

The Cubs have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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